The 'Where Eagles Lived?' project launched in September 2017. Five months on, we have completed our data collection and finalized our results.
Before the 'Where Eagles Lived?' project launched, the historic data for White-tailed Eagles (WTE) and Golden Eagles (GE) in Wales was very limited. Wales has been poorly served in the way of written historic records for most raptor species. Particularly for GE and WTEs, as both species became extinct in Wales before the growing interest of bird recording in the 19th Century.
The 'Where Eagles Lived?' project is the first attempt to produce an authoritative evidence-based assessment of the historic distribution of Eagles in Wales. It quickly became apparent, the use of historic ornithological written records alone, revealed an enormous gap in our knowledge and understanding of the historic range for both species prior the 20th Century. From our initial search, we could only find 23 suitable historic records for both species. However, by expanding our sources and applying statistical modelling to our historic data-set, we now have 166 historic records for both species in Wales.
There are a number of relevant methods to assess the past eagle assemblages in Wales. We used a number of complementary data sources to collect historic records for eagles in Wales, including: 1) written historical accounts; 2) Welsh place-names; and 3) supporting records, including archaeological findings, persecution records and museum specimens.
We had a number of challenges with our final data-set. Out of our 166 historic records, 48.2% of records indicated the presence of an 'eagle' species. In order to assess the relative historic distribution of both species of eagles in Wales, we needed to utilize the full extent (n = 166) of our historic data-set. The high percentage of records that were not identified to species level (i.e. a GE or WTE) is an attribute of place-name records. All welsh place-names included the component 'eryr', 'eryrod' and 'heryr' (i.e. welsh deviations of the English word for 'eagle'), which indicated the presence of either a GE or WTE.
Therefore, in order to estimate the historic distribution of both species, utilizing the full extent of historic records, we decided to turn our attention to the historic habitat. A variety of distinct historical environmental features were collected for each historic record. Environmental features were carefully selected to represent habitat preferences of both species. For example, European WTEs tend to prefer coastal, wetland, and lowland areas with trees, at lower altitudes in close proximity to water sources than GEs. Thus, applying modern knowledge of habitat preferences to our 'known ID' historic records enabled us to shed light (through statistical modeling of course!) on trends within the distribution data for each species.
Environmental features associated to the habitat preferences of GE and WTE were then applied to the 48.2% of 'uknown ID' records within our data-set. All place-name records were assigned a species ID, allowing us to robustly assess the historical distribution of each species of eagle across Wales. The final data-set comprised of 166 historic records, 89 for GEs and 77 for WTEs. The proportion of historic records collected for each source type is shown below for each species (Figure 1).
Figure 1. The proportion of historic records collected between source types for Golden [top] and White-tailed Eagles [bottom] in Wales.